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Frequentist Persuasion — Optimal z(K)
Frequentist Persuasion
Optimal lying probability z*(N)
Prior
μ₀ = Pr[guilty]
0.30
Prior probability defendant is guilty
Benchmarks
KG optimum z^KG
—
μ₀ / (1−μ₀), capped at 1
Min z* over K shown
—
achieved at K = —
Display
K max
120
z*(N) — prosecutor's optimal lying probability as a function of sample size
computing…